Quants stopped trading on gut feeling a long time ago
everyone talks about neural nets and transformers, but prediction markets still run on simulations. let me break it down so it clicks the first time
here's their toolkit - and yes, the code is attached
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Probability
5
148
7
15.8K
Snapshot History (10)
| Date | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3 · 11:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +16 15.8K |
| Mar 3 · 09:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +22 15.8K |
| Mar 3 · 08:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +5 15.8K |
| Mar 3 · 07:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +19 15.8K |
| Mar 3 · 04:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +4 15.8K |
| Mar 3 · 03:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +25 15.8K |
| Mar 3 · 01:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +16 15.7K |
| Mar 3 · 00:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +83 15.7K |
| Mar 2 · 22:00 | 5 | 148 | 7 | +54 15.6K |
| Mar 2 · 21:00 | +5 5 | +148 148 | +7 7 | +15.6K 15.6K |
| Mar 1 · 11:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |